Voter Registration analysis

An analysis of the voter registration in the newly reapportioned State Senate Districts shows that there are significantly more unaffiliated voters (UAF) than there are Democrats in 15 of the 20 districts currently held by Democrats. In 7 of these districts the UAF advantage is more than 14 percentage points!

In 5 of the Republican held districts, the UAF advantage is again 14 percentage points or more than the Republicans!

These are golden opportunities to elect a Center Party candidate!

Democrat held districts at the top, Republican held districts down at the bottom of the first chart:

Dems Senate percent percent Delta
District Dems UAF
11 26.0 47.2 21.2 CO springs
5 24.2 43.7 19.5 Gunnison Aspen
16 25.7 43.1 17.4 Littleton
27 27.6 44.6 17.0 Parker Foxfield
20 27.9 44.7 16.8 Kipling Morrison
19 29.4 44.7 15.3 Westminster
24 30.5 45.0 14.5 Northglenn/Thornton
14 33.9 45.5 11.6

Fort Collins

 

21 33.3 44.1 10.8
17 34.9 45.5 10.6
22 35.1 44.7 9.6
26 34.6 43.1 8.5
28 38.7 43.2 4.5
29 38.1 42.3 4.2
3 36.1 37.6 1.5
32 42.7 42.0 -0.7
34 46.5 43.0 -3.5
31 46.6 41.5 -5.1
18 48.9 41.3 -7.6
33 51.9 39.4 -12.5
Senate percent percent Delta
Rep held District Rep UAF
25 21.8 45.4 23.6 Broomfield
13 26.4 45.0 18.6 Greeley Brighton
8 27.1 46.4 19.3 Eagle Grand
12 28.4 45.3 16.9 Fountain W Co springs
15 28.8 43.7 14.9 Loveland Estes

A similar analysis of the State House Districts held by Democrats ( who are the majority in the State house right now) shows that there are 17 districts (Democrats hold a 9 seat advantage over Republicans) where the percentage of UAF registered voters is greater than the percentage of Democrat voters by more than 14 percent!

Dems house percent percent Delta
District Dems UAF
26 23.6 45.9 22.3 Eagle Routt
13 25.1 45.8 20.7 Summit Grand
25 24.3 44.7 20.4 Evergreen
18 25.0 44.2 19.2 West Co Springs
17 28.8 47.6 18.8 CO springs
50 27.6 46.4 18.8 Greeley
61 26.2 44.4 18.2 Aurora
28 26.5 44.5 18.0 Governors Ranch
33 29.0 45.8 16.8 Broomfield
27 28.9 45.1 16.2 Golden
38 26.8 42.7 15.9 Littleton
59 26.0 41.7 15.7 Durango
52 29.9 45.5 15.6 South Ft Collins
37 27.9 43.2 15.3 Centennial
29 30.1 45.4 15.3 Westminster
24 29.3 44.3 15.0 Arvada
34 30.0 44.9 14.9 Northglenn